Botafogo and Flamengo face each other in a match for the 33rd round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Flamengo won at home (2-0) last time they faced each other in this edition of the league on 21-07-2018. The history of recent direct clashes is favorable to the visiting team, which has 6 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the last 14 games. In this match the home factor can play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
After 9 wins, 11 draws and 12 losses, the home team is in 14th place, having won 38 points. In the last match, they beat Corinthians at home (1-0), after losing in the previous game in a game against Atletico-PR, (2-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, the stronger when you play in front of your fans, since in the last 30 matches you have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats as a visitor, with 15 goals scored and 31 conceded, against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats at home, with 16 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 home games for the championship, Botafogo recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, having won 16 points out of 30. In the matches played in their championship stadium, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0-0, which occurred in 7 of their 16 matches. The team conceded goals to their opponents in 7 of the last 10 games, so they have not shown great defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, since they managed to achieve in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In his home matches for this competition there is a tendency towards few goals, since in 12 of the last 16 that disputed there were less than 3 goals. In 32 games in this competition, only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in the 14 games in which he suffered the first goal. There are 1 periods highlighted in the last 16 home games in this competition: he suffered 5 of his 12 goals between minutes (31'-45 ').
Botafogo has recovered from 5 games without a win with a good victory in the last round, managed to breathe in the fight against the relegation and goes in search of another triumph to have a quieter final stretch, however a defeat can put the team in a bad situation , since it has only 4 points of advantage for the zone of descent. The team has problems both in the offensive and defensive sector, having scored only 31 goals, being the sixth worst attack of the competition, and conceded 42 goals, having the sixth defense more leaked and these figures help explain the low performance. Playing as principal, as the game of this Saturday, Botafogo lost only 1 of his last 7 games, but tied 3 of them and it is worth mentioning that in 6 the score did not pass the 2 goals scored, since the team has played more defensively and created little. For the classic with Flamengo, coach Zé Ricardo has no problems in the team that has been active in the last games and must repeat the last round's lineup.
Analysis of Flamengo
After 17 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses, the visiting team is in 3rd place, having won 60 points. In the last match, he drew with Sao Paulo away (2-2), after his previous match drew at home in a game against Palmeiras (1-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when playing with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses as a visitor, with a total of 20 goals scored and 17 conceded. Already inside the home, won 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with a total of 20 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the championship, Flamengo won 11 points out of 30, after 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 games they played as a visitor. His attack has scored regularly, as he has managed to achieve in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their away games there is a tendency to have goals, since 14 of their last 16 games by the competition finished with More than 1.5 goals. In 32 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 10 times and never managed to turn the board.
Flamengo arrives for this match desperately needing the victory to continue in the title fight, as they are 6 points behind leaders Palmeiras and there is no alternative but to win. The team is characterized by an excellent balance between the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored 51 goals, being the best attack of the national, and conceded only 25 goals, having the fourth defense less leaked, having improved greatly after the arrival of coach Dorival Junior who managed to organize the 2 sectors, attacking a lot without being neglected far behind. Flamengo has lost only 1 of his last 7 games, has the fourth best advantage of the Serie A and it is worth mentioning that it is the team that scored the most goals in this type of situation, since it maintains its style offensive even away from their domains. For the confrontation before the Botafogo, the team must maintain the lineup of the last round, keeping the goalkeeper Diego Alves away by indiscipline.
The most likely scenario for this match is the Flamengo victory. Because it is a classic, the difference in the field control is not significant and Flamengo has a much superior cast and campaign much better than Botafogo, with much better numbers both offensively and defensively. In addition, only the victory interests Flamengo to continue in the fight for the title and the team must press from the beginning and, also, it should not suffer much behind, since Botafogo creates few offensive moves. In view of these factors, we believe that Flamengo will win the 3 points in this match.